Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jun 13, 2025

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Game 4 Pick – 6/13/2025

Friday, June 13 delivers Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals as the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Indianapolis to face the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. With Indiana holding a 2–1 lead in the series, Oklahoma City’s quest to avoid a 3–1 hole hinges on reasserting control after a Game 3 loss. The Thunder need to restore their defensive intensity, while the Pacers look to reinforce momentum behind their offensive balance and a home crowd desperate to see them succeed.

Our Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 Pick

  • Spread: Thunder -6
  • Total: Over 226.5
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers
  • Date & Time: Friday, June 13, 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Broadcast: ABC

Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 Odds

Spread Thunder -6
Moneyline Pacers +175, Thunder -220
Total 226.5

Key Storylines

  1. The Pacers are riding high after a strong Game 3 win (116–107), paced by Tyrese Haliburton’s near triple-double and Bennedict Mathurin’s 27 off the bench.
  2. Myles Turner had five blocked shots in Game 3 and will be key for Indiana’s defense and rebounding effort.
  3. The Thunder struggled defensively, surrendering 51.8 % shooting to their opponents. They must clamp down here.
  4. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains central to OKC's success. Despite being limited late in Game 3, he still posted 24 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

During this series, Game 3 shifted momentum toward Indiana, but regular-season play favored Oklahoma City. The Thunder went 2–0 straight-up against the Pacers and covered both times. OKC is 3-2 against the Pacers overall this year, but that will mean nothing if the Thunder can't get a win tonight to avoid falling behind 3-1 in the Finals.

Best Player Props to Watch

Player Prop Analysis
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 PTS SGA remains the engine for OKC, expect a bounce-back scoring night.
Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 REB Holmgren grabbed 10 boards in Game 3 and should clean up on the glass again.
Myles Turner Under 5.5 REB Turner had two rebounds in Game 3 and should struggle in that department as he contends with Holmgren/Hartenstein.

Advanced Metrics & Trends

OKC boasts the best defensive rating in the playoffs, leading in opponent turnovers. The Pacers, meanwhile, show elite offensive efficiency, ranking near the top in eFG%, offensive rating, and assists. The key matchup in this game will be whether or not Indiana’s sharpshooters can find space against Oklahoma City’s length and versatile perimeter defense.

Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 Model Projection

Score Projection Win Probability
Thunder 120 – Pacers 109 OKC 57% / Indiana 43%

Final Thoughts

Expect a tight contest with the Thunder pushing hard to even the series. Our lean is toward the Thunder doing just that, winning and covering the spread to send this series back to OKC tied at two, while the Thunder reclaim home-court advantage for the rest of the series.

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-6.0/-112
38% OKC
+6.0/-108
62% IND

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-235
37% OKC
+194
63% IND

Total Pick Consensus

228.0/-110
7% UN
228.0/-110
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
42.6
92.7
FGA
89.9
.482
FG%
.474
14.5
3Pt-FG
12.9
38.8
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.374
3Pt%
.355
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.7
53.9
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.559
2Pt%
.554
16.7
FT
17.0
20.4
FTA
22.0
.819
FT%
.773
10.6
ORB
11.2
34.2
DRB
33.8
44.8
TRB
45.0
26.9
AST
26.0
10.3
STL
7.2
5.7
BLK
4.5
11.7
TOV
15.0
19.9
PF
18.8
120.5
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
IND
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
43.6
87.0
FGA
89.3
.436
FG%
.488
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.3
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.342
3Pt%
.368
24.5
2Pt-FG
30.4
47.6
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.513
2Pt%
.568
18.3
FT
17.0
23.7
FTA
21.6
.774
FT%
.789
11.6
ORB
9.2
33.3
DRB
32.7
44.9
TRB
41.8
24.6
AST
29.2
6.7
STL
8.5
4.8
BLK
5.5
17.0
TOV
13.2
18.1
PF
18.7
107.6
PTS
117.4

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
IND
.560
eFG%
.546
10.3
TOV%
13.1
24.2
RB%
74.5
.180
FT/FGA
.190

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
IND
.513
eFG%
.562
14.9
TOV%
11.8
74.6
RB%
21.3
.211
FT/FGA
.190

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
42.3
92.6
FGA
89.2
.482
FG%
.474
14.5
3Pt-FG
12.8
38.8
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.374
3Pt%
.355
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.5
53.8
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.559
2Pt%
.554
16.7
FT
16.9
20.4
FTA
21.9
.819
FT%
.773
10.6
ORB
11.1
34.1
DRB
33.6
44.7
TRB
44.7
26.8
AST
25.8
10.3
STL
7.1
5.7
BLK
4.4
11.7
TOV
14.9
19.9
PF
18.7
120.3
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
IND
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
43.3
86.8
FGA
88.7
.436
FG%
.488
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.3
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.342
3Pt%
.368
24.4
2Pt-FG
30.2
47.6
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.513
2Pt%
.568
18.3
FT
16.9
23.7
FTA
21.4
.774
FT%
.789
11.6
ORB
9.1
33.2
DRB
32.4
44.8
TRB
41.5
24.6
AST
29.0
6.7
STL
8.4
4.8
BLK
5.4
17.0
TOV
13.1
18.1
PF
18.6
107.5
PTS
116.5

OKC
Analytics
IND
68
Pythag Wins
46
14
Pythag Losses
36
12.87
Margin Of Victory
2.23
120.3
O Rtg
116.5
107.5
D Rtg
114.3
100.0
Pace
99.9
.220
FTr
.241
.419
3PAr
.400
.593
TS%
.594

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC IND
OKC IND
Consensus
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-109)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-109)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-110)
-6.0 (-112)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-113)
+6.0 (-109)
-6.0 (-113)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-102)
+5.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-102)
+6.5 (-118)
Open
Current
Book
OKC IND
OKC IND
Consensus
-225
+185
-235
+194
-225
+185
-238
+195
-240
+198
-245
+200
-245
+195
-235
+190
-235
+190
-235
+190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
225.5 (-112)
225.5 (-112)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-112)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)

Related Articles

Leave a Comment

NBA Picks › Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Game 4 Pick – 6/13/2025