The Minnesota Lynx (9-1) host the struggling Los Angeles Sparks (4-7) at Target Center on Saturday, June 14, 2025. With Minnesota’s stifling defense and elite talent facing off against LA’s injury-riddled roster, this presents a significant mismatch on paper. Here’s our Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx prediction before tip-off on Saturday afternoon.
Our Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx Pick
- Spread: Lynx -10
- Total: Under 163
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Recommended Bonus: DraftKings promo code – bet $5, get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet wins
Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ 
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Promo Code: Click To Claim
Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Promo Code: Click To Claim
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks at Minnesota Lynx
- Date & Time: Saturday, June 14, 2025 – 1:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: CBS
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | -10 | -535 | 163 |
| Los Angeles | +10 | +400 |
Key Storylines
- Minnesota momentum: The Lynx are 9-1 and have held opponents to just 75.7 points per game this season, ranking third in defensive rating. They are undefeated at home this season and will look to keep it that way.
- Injury and availability concerns: The Sparks are in trouble with Cameron Brink, Rae Burrell, and Julie Allemand. Minnesota is mostly healthy, with Jessica Shepard being the only name on their injury report.
- Kelsey Plum factor: Since her acquisition, Plum scored 37 in the opener and remains LA’s offensive focal point with 21.0 points per game.
- Playoff positioning: Minnesota seeks to stay within a game of the undefeated New York Liberty in the loss column after this game is done.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Lynx won the first matchup between these teams this season, beating LA by 14 in California.
- Minnesota is 4-6 against the spread this season despite their stellar straight up record.
- The Sparks are also under .500 against the spread, going 5-6 against the number.
- LA’s over/under record this season is 6-4-1 to the under, while the Lynx have gone under the total in 6 of their 10 games.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Defensive efficiency: Minnesota has a huge advantage in defensive rating that will give them the edge in this game.
- Offensive output: Minnesota shoots 46.5% from the field is superior to LA in both scoring and efficiency stats.
- Pace: Minnesota plays slower, forcing opponents into tough half-court possessions and limiting easy buckets. The Lynx play with the slowest pace in the W so far this year.
- Mismatches: LA’s depleted frontcourt can’t match Minnesota’s interior strength, especially with Collier dominating the glass and scoring from all three levels.
Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx Model Projection
Score Projection: Minnesota 82 – Los Angeles 70
Win Probability: Minnesota 78%, Los Angeles 22%
Final Thoughts
The Lynx have all the tools to take control early and never look back. Their cohesion, health, and two-way dominance are too much for a Sparks team missing key rotation players and scrambling for consistency. The best plays here are Minnesota -10 and under 163. Expect the Lynx to pull away in the second half and continue their near-perfect start to the season.
